Wall Street analysts said that January May’s prompt is the next step of the Standard 500 Index

It looks like we do it.

The end of January, for those who recognized the title of Barry Manilow in 1977, regret for EAR insects.

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But this is an important moment of the year, because all of us gave way in February.

For example, this means that the dryness of January is over, and people quit alcohol in the wolf month, as the Saxon people say-31 days after no alcohol, many people may be calling there.

In 2024, 25 % of adults in the United States participated in the drought of January, higher than 16 % in 2023.

The end of January is also an important period in the financial industry, because market analysts pay attention to the barometer of January.

Related: Each main Standard 500 index of Wall Street Analysts 2025

As any meteorologist tells you, the air pressure meter measures the air pressure to predict the short -term changes in the weather.

High pressure is usually related to the clear sky and cool and dry air, while low pressure indicates cloudy, rainy and strong weather.

The barometer in January is a theory, saying that the investment performance of the S & P 500 Standard 500 in January represents the forecasting performance throughout the year.

The theory says that if the stock in January is higher, the one -year stock should be higher. If the first month is lower, one year will be lower.

There is a good record of the barometer in January

The S & P 500 index ended on January 31, but the final score of the entire market was 2.6 %, so maybe we should pay attention to Yale Hirsch, a legendary person in Wall Street. , His stock traders ‘stock traders’ stocks, widely read investment guidelines.

Over the years, he has participated in investment research, and used the music background as the background to distinguish this model.

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By the way, Hish also gave the world Santa Rally, which described the stock price in the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of the next January.

Analyst Stephen Guilfoyle said in an article in Thestreet Pro earlier this month that Santa Claus suffered losses this year, which was the red losses of Santa for the second consecutive year.

The experienced merchant said in the THESTREET PRO column on January 9: “No sweat.” “This is just seasonal trade, and for U.S. stocks, 2024 is a very pleasant one for US stocks. Year.”

In the year, some early warning systems of the barometer in January were also developed. The system pointed out that the S & P 500 scores of January 5 days were a good sign of the year.

Guilfoyle’s career can be traced back to the New York Stock Exchange in the 1980s, and he had opinions on the five days of the first five days he said.

“I think this is just a coincidence, but just like Santa’s rally and the barometer in January, the legend seems to work in three quarters at the time. At least, I am engaged in a professional market. This is almost 40 years. “He said.

Stock traders said that since 1950, the barometer of January has been 84 %.

The theory works normally in 2023 and 2024. The S & P 500 index rose 6.2 % in January 2023, and ended the year at a rate of 24.3 %. In 2024, the S & P 500 index ended in January and the gain was relatively small. The annual growth total of 23.3 %.

The barometer also worked in the bad market in 2022. At that time, the index fell 5.3 % and fell 19.44 % in the year.

The critics of the barometer in January said that its track score was inconsistent.

They also enumerated this possibility of this kind of coincidence, and at the same time pointed out that similar models have not been observed in other global markets, which shows that this may be a unique abnormal abnormality in the US stock market.

Nevertheless, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist of Carson Group, feels good about the barometer in January 2025.

Analysts warn that income will be difficult to obtain

“Since 2023, the Best January of the Standard Pur 500 Index. Solding out of 3 % of monthly revenue is eliminated, but in the whole year, the first few months of> 2 % is still very strong. Detrick wrote on X. “18.4 % rose throughout the year, and nearly 88 % rose 18.4 %.”

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It was exciting in January, and Donald Trump vowed to repairs the federal government in the White House.

The stock market encountered a very rough spot. The arrival of DeepSeek was a free AI -driven Chinese chat robot. His creator claimed that he could complete the work of higher cost competitors.

Deepseek’s first appearance caused a terrible stock market for sale. The stock market abandoned the value of some well -known people in some technologies (NVDA. Essence

“In the short term, I think people would be suspicious because they saw that they were hammered on the next day in the short term.” But the next day, he said. “But the second day broke out. I think people will realize that this is a matter of evolution, but this is not a revolution. “

Jeffrey Hirsch, the son of Yale Hirsch, said the editor -in -chief of the year’s yearbook of the year’s yearbook of the year notation of the year of the year.

Hitz said on Linkedin: “Unless the Standard 500 index drops 189.55 points, our barometer will be positive in January.”

Hish warned that this year’s income was more difficult than in the past two years.

He said: “Our 2025 forecast is 8-12 %, and the gravel and weaknesses in the first and third quarters are targeted.” “The year after election is much better, but in the first quarter A weak place. ”

Hishi told investors that they should expect more fluctuations and chopping in the short term.

He said: “As we all know, in February, in February, it has become weak and even more.” “February is the worst month of Nasdaq and Russell 2000 in 500 years since the election since 1950. “

Related: Senior fund manager issued Dire S & P 500 warning 2025