When Mexico and Canada tried to get rid of the threat of US President Donald Trump, Mexico and Canada were different and formed a more unified front.
Since winning the election in November, Trump has repeatedly threatened the country’s two largest trading partners, and the export tax rate for all the United States has been 25 %, so as to retaliate against the level of illegal immigration he said, and the opioid Fantney It is trafficking to the country. He warned that tariffs could be applied on February 1.
A person familiar with the Trump team plan said, “Trump is black and white.” “We let you enter the US market, what do you give us?”
Mexico and Canada sent three -quarters of exports to the United States with the support of USMCA in the three -way trade agreement. The agreement was signed during the last presidential period of Trump, which made them vulnerable to Washington’s request.
Mexico has relied on about 70 % of natural gas in the United States. For a long time, Trump has accused illegal immigrants and drugs enter the United States.
The Canadian Chamber of Commerce predicts that if Trump has made a good loss on his threat, the country’s GDP will be reduced by 2.6 % or about 78 billion Canadian dollars ($ 5.4 billion), which will make each Canadian per year About 1,900 Canadian dollars.
Although Trump constituted a common threat, the relationship between Mexico-Canada last year has deteriorated. It was originally a concern for the Ambassador of Ottawa to the major repair of Mexican judicial institutions.
In the Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, he hinted that he would reduce Mexico from USMCA and agree that Trump’s consent is that China has a problem with Mexico’s investment. Try to Presidential Curry Partnership.
Officials said that these and other comments aroused anger in Mexico City, but in the face of Trump’s tariff warnings, the two countries gathered together, and a series of calls have occurred between ministers in the past month.
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“Political noise may lead to the delay and shrouded judgment of Ottawa, but the Canadians may eventually realize that it is important to better coordination with Mexico,” Diego Marroquin Bitar )explain.
One of the main purpose of reconciliation is to keep the country’s narrative on how the US tariffs become losses, which will promote the price of consumers in all three countries.
Trudeau said this week: “Trump announced that he hopes to be the” golden age “of the US economy. This means that they will need more energy, more minerals, more steel and aluminum, more Wood, more concrete, and Canada has sent more things. “
Ottawa and Mexico City have also formulated a separate retaliatory tariff list, and at the same time, they have sent public and private olive branches to Trump’s border security team.
Mexico has been prepared for a few months of tariffs called “rotating wooden” products, and then transformed it into other states against Republican key legislators.
Energy and Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson said Canada also said it is preparing to sanction Tit-TAT sanctions, which will cause “the least anxiety in Canada’s pain”.
The review of USMCA scheduled to be performed in 2026 is ongoing, and Trump urges to change China’s footprint in the region. Public consultation began in Washington this week, and the president has requested US trade representatives to make suggestions on the future of the agreement before April 1.
Ottawa and Mexico City are re -negotiating for Trump. USMCA (President re -negotiated him in his first term, he called “the huge victory of American workers”, rather than a loose but narrow “comment “agreement.
“This is his game, this is his reshaping,” said Andrew Shoyer, a former USTR official, now Sidley Austin’s trading lawyer.
People familiar with the White House plan said that the United States wants to make changes to limit foreign content in cars and reduce China’s economic and Mexican economy.
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Trump also increased the US high trade deficit with two USMCA partners to warn Ottawa that Washington can use “economic power” to make the country’s 51st state in Canada.
He told the World Economic Forum on the World Economic Forum held on Thursday that Canada “can always be a state, if you are a state, we will not be deficit.”
“We don’t need their wood because we have our own forests. We don’t need their oil and natural gas. We have more than anyone.” He added.
In fact, about 40 % of crude oil imported from the United States, of which 60 % came from Canada and 11 % came from Mexico.
Mark Scholz, chief executive of the Canadian Energy Contracting Association, said: “Tariffs will not only adversely affect American consumers.”
Canada has responded to Trump’s border demand, promising to use more than $ 1 billion for helicopters, drones and human security-although Trudeau pointed out on Thursday that illegal immigrants and illegal drugs entering the United States into the United States and entering the United States Only 1 % of them come from Canada.
Mexico has also strengthened immigration law enforcement, and now she will recover the asylum applicants waiting for the United States.
Trump threatened to deploy US special forces to Mexico to take out drugs Cartel, and in Davos, the United States also “deal with Mexico well.”
Shoyer said his method had a huge impact on the usual conventional amendments in most trade agreements.
“This is the biggest chaos, shock and awe. He uses all these as a leverage,” he said.
Alan Smith’s data visualization
