DeepSeek launched loud technology stocks and Microsoft, Meta income on the deck

The largest scientific and technological stocks in the United States may sell up to $ 900 billion in revenue seasons in the global sales of AI -driven chat robots in China on Monday.

DeepSeek is a Chinese technology startup in 2023. It claims that in the case of about $ 6 million in more than two months, it has developed a large language model system, which is equal to or exceeds the performance of Microsoft’s performance (MSFT. -Chatgpt of OpenAi behind.

Through the rapid development of open source cooperation, its cost is only the cost of more than 500 million US dollars of dollar platform expenditure (Yuan. LLAMA 3 and Openai’s ChatGPT shocked the technology community and made investors confident in the world’s largest large -scale large -scale large -scale capital expenditure plan.

Microsoft, Yuan, Amazon (Amzn. And Google parents letters (Googl. This year, this year’s AI projects may spend up to $ 300 billion. It is estimated that the total expenditure of the world’s most popular technology in the next three years is about $ 2 trillion.

The US government is also acting quickly to ensure that the United States is still the center of AI development. Donald Trump announced last week the Oracle Trinity joint venture (Orcl. He claims that SoftBank and Openai headquarters will invest as many as $ 500 billion in domestic AI infrastructure.

Metropolitan revenue on Microsoft and deck

However, as the largest stock stocks in the United States will update investors’ fourth -quarter profits in the next two weeks (starting from Wednesday, Microsoft and Meta reports) investors are questioning their current market value and a large expenditure plan.

“Monday’s technical selling is driven by basic catalysts. This is worried that China’s Deepseek AI tools surpass ChatGPT in terms of use, so the chips such as NVIDIA are not so complicated,” said David Bahnsen, the chief investment officer of Bahnsen Group. Beach, California.

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He added: “However, for the extensive field of science and technology itself, this may be unnecessary or cautious, which may be unnecessary or cautious-it can prove that this is a basic game rules change.”

This has a significant impact on the market’s long -bull rally. The rally entered the third year this month, mainly in the large income and greater performance of large -scale giant leaders in the technical field.

A magnificent 7 market dominant position

In fact, the magnificent 7 may contribute one -fifth of the 10.5 % profit growth forecast of the S & P 500 index in the three months of December. Slow speed increases.

At the same time, the collective value of the seven largest stocks accounted for about one -third of the overall market value of the S & P 500, which explains the huge response to Deepseek News earlier Monday.

SAXO Bank’s chief investment strategist Charu Chanana in Singapore said: “American technology companies are trading with advanced valuations. The main AI players of NVIDIA, Microsoft and Alphabet have far exceeded the long -term price of historical average.”

She added: “Because the price of these stocks is perfect, even if it is a slight interrupt, such as Deepseek proves that you can build advanced AI without a top chip, it may also seriously affect the stock price.”

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Brian Mulberry, a client investment group manager of Zacks Investment Management, regards the upcoming MAG 7 income sector as “the key moment in the market, the industry’s valuation is high.”

He said: “MAG 7 accounts for 33 % of the market value of the S & P 500 Index. Any elaboration of any growth or cautious guidance may reduce the income multiples from the current 21 times.” With the obvious market decline, it emphasizes the risk related to the group group. “

The technical expenditure plan is concentrated in the focus

Microsoft said earlier this month that in the current fiscal year, it will spend about $ 80 billion in “establishing AI support data centers to train the AI ​​model and deploy AI and cloud-based applications around the world”, which will report a financial report- The second quarter after the transactions on Wednesday.

Analysts are looking for a total revenue and smart cloud income of $ 68.84 billion, including its flagship cloud to provide Azure, about $ 28.1 billion.

Amy Hood, the financial person in charge of Microsoft, told investors that we still hope that because our capital investment will increase the ability to use artificial intelligence, the growth of Azure will accelerate from H1 (under the fiscal year under the fiscal year, Half a year). “In late October.

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The overall income increase is about 11 %, which will exceed 6 % of the expected earnings per share. It is expected that this will be $ 3.13, which will put further pressure on Microsoft to make large -scale capital expenditure plans.

Facebook’s parental platform will also report on Wednesday to quarterly revenue on Wednesday.

CEO Mark Zuckerberg said that he was higher than expected that “the huge efforts to promote our core products and business, unlock historical innovation and expand US technical leadership.”

Meta is expected to release the bottom line of the fourth quarter, $ 6.77 per share, an increase of 27 % over the annual period, and income rose 17 % to $ 47 billion.

Is the American AI leadership challenge?

Tesla also reported on Wednesday that investors may focus on the expenditure plan of CEO Elon Musk and a broader AI ambition.

After Apple traded on Thursday, Apple will report the revenue in December to quarterly, and Alphabet and Amazon will be reported next week. NVIDIA will end the MAG 7 revenue season on February 26.

“We expect that high -tech revenue in the next two weeks will not prove that the industry’s valuation will be increased in the next two weeks.”

“These companies are likely to report a great quarter, and they may guide higher expectations and income expectations. The current valuation will not consider the risk of competition, which seems to be inevitable, and in the future order order order order Risks will also decrease, and all these risks will eventually return to other reasons. “He said.

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However, Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives said the market overestimated Deepseek’s threat to American technology giants. He believes that the current selling is a “golden opportunity” to enter the AI ​​trade in 2025 and later.

“Although the model is impressive and has a chain reaction, the reality is that MAG 7 and the United States technology focus on the final game of AGI, including China, especially Deepseek, in our opinion, he believes that China, especially all of DeepSeek, Infrastructure and ecosystems say.

“The focus of AI is the use cases and wider infrastructure, which has promoted this $ 2 trillion [capital expenditures] In the next three years, he added.

“The next thing will be the physical AI.DEEPSEEK around the robot and autonomy. [and] To some extent, it may actually accelerate high -standard capital expenditures. “

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