Trump said he could send US special forces to hunt the Mexican drug trafficking group. It may make things worse.

• Trump and others have proposed to send US special forces to Mexican to crack down on drug trafficking groups.

• Experts told “Business Insider” that intervention in Mexico may cause unstable.

• Special combat troops such as foreign internal defense may be cautious, but it is only to enhance non -military means.

Trump World is discussing the idea of ​​sending special forces to Mexican to crack down on drug trafficking groups. Experts say that these actions may make the situation worse.

When President Donald Trump specified the Mexican drug trafficking group as a “foreign terrorist organization”, he was asked by reporters whether they would consider sending American special combatants to Mexico.

“It may happen,” the president said, and pointed out that “even more strange things have happened.”

Experts of Carter and War issues said that sending any army to Mexico may trigger unstable situation, and then may cross the border into the United States.

A high -end special combat person in active duty said to “Internal Course”: “I think that if we start to make trouble there, the American people will not be affordable.” He did not want to disclose his name because he had no right to talk to the media in this way.

“Just using any military mechanism to solve this problem just to kill Carter’s leaders,” he said. “This will only make things worse.”

Trump put forward the idea of ​​military intervention in Mexico during his first term, but his team seemed to be considering this idea more seriously.

“How much should we invade Mexico?” In November 2024, a member of a transition team published a report on Trump’s thinking about Cart in Mexico. “This is the problem.”

Trump’s new national security consultant, former green beret member Mike Waltz promoted the idea of ​​using special combatants. Trump’s “Border Tsar” Tom Homan said that he could use special forces to eliminate drug trafficking groups or “eliminate them from the earth.”

Operators and other experts interviewed by BI warned that the direct operation raid on Mexican territory -American special forces are famous for fighting severe tasks. For consequences, especially without Mexico’s invitation. But they said that other less active tasks, such as training foreign troops or improving foreign internal defense, may be worth it.

For a long time, such tasks have been the main source of income for the army’s green berets and other troops. Sources told BI that as Trump officially specified Carter as a foreign terrorist organization, such tasks may enhance other government efforts to prevent drugs from flowing into the United States more effectively.

A constant idea

The idea of ​​using special combatants to combat drug trafficking groups in Mexico was supported by Republican leaders, especially veterans. Florida Governor and former Navy officer Ron De Setis told the United States Cable Television News before the end of the White House. If he was elected president, he would deploy US special combat forces to Mexico on the first day.

In 2023, Waltz, the representatives of the Florida parliament, and a member of the Texas Parliament, and the former SEALs, Dan Kellen Shaw, proposed a new military authorization legislation against Carter in Mexico. It is worth noting that such legislations are usually not overturned quickly -two AummFs that allow the global anti -terrorism war to expand scale are still effective.

Brucehovman, a senior researcher at the US Foreign Relations Commission’s anti -terrorism and land security, said it was understandable to send special combat troops to Mexico. Other measures failed to curb the flow of drugs into the United States. Although some domestic efforts seemed to play a role, the number of deaths caused by excessive fans was finally declining.

However, he said that the scale of special forces is much smaller than conventional troops, and the purpose is not to solve all problems that may require military intervention.

“Although the public has such imagination, Special Combat Forces are not often engaged in the action that people often imagine.”

“They are engaged in less bright things, such as training local troops, collecting information, psychological warfare, [and] Civil affairs, “he said.

The active special combat staff told BI that strengthening Mexico’s internal defense may be a worthwhile effort, but priority is given to military intervention rather than non -violent methods, such as authorizing the State Council and the Ministry of Finance to put pressure on the financial institutions used by Carter. It will be reckless behavior.

Danger of making mistakes

George Messon’s professor of George Marson, Guardor Peroa Caprera, who conducted a wide range of research on Carter, said that the violence against Carter could trigger a humanitarian crisis and stimulate more immigrants to enter the United States.

She said that the Mexican civilians in the cross -fire may escape the community and may cause the refugee crisis. “They will apply for asylum under despair,” she said, saying that the idea of ​​immediately military intervention is not logical.

This is not as simple as killing the highest leader. She said Carter’s control of Mexican society seemed infinitely complicated, which made Carter’s control more complicated.

“We are not talking about vertical business like El Chapo and El Mayo, and all those who provide orders to everyone,” she refers to two infamous drugs. Most Carter’s operational command structure is not concentrated and scattered into smaller tissues. Some of them focus on drug transportation and production, while others focus on kidnapping, extortion and population smuggling.

Carolyn Gallaher, a professor of American university, said that if the goal is to limit the influence of Carter and the violence and damage that follows, then if you start killing the leader, “will get the opposite opposite opposite opposite. Effect”. Carter said in an interview with BI.

Senior leaders are easily replaced by other people who are enthusiastic about power, and have created a more complicated battlefield for the US military and Mexican civilians.

“When you start fighting with a army that do not perform like a regular army, you are basically in a civilian life.” “And you do not have an accurate way to distinguish civilians and soldiers.”

Doug LiverMore, Vice Chairman of the American Special Operations Association and the National Guard Green Beret. Senior Officer Doug Livermore, has written articles about drug terrorism. He said that special operations are just one of the huge U.S. government toolboxes Tools cannot be the main job.

“It is not enough to rely on military means. It cannot solve the problem,” Livermore told BI.

He suggested that a wider range of methods allow American special forces to provide information or strengthen internal security. However, Livermore said that the rampant corruption of Mexican government agencies may make these efforts complicated.

He also suggested more careful review and aiming at the role of China in the US drug crisis, and pointed out to provide chemicals and financial support to Carter.

The special combat force operator said that it is unclear what the Trump administration wants to achieve the final goal to define success. Lack of these parameters may lead to another quagmire. However, he said that it seemed that it would take years for any effective to remove them.

The operator said: “This can not be completed in a short time; it requires continuous efforts and cooperation.” “This takes the time of one or two generations; it is impossible to complete within four years.”

Read the original article on the Business Insider